Decision-support methodology to assess risk in end-of-life management of complex systems

Autor: Eric Villeneuve, Laurent Geneste, François Pérès, Cédrick Béler, Eric Reubrez
Přispěvatelé: Institut National Polytechnique de Toulouse - Toulouse INP (FRANCE), Institut National Polytechnique de Toulouse - INPT (FRANCE), ESTIA Recherche, Ecole Supérieure des Technologies Industrielles Avancées (ESTIA), Laboratoire Génie de Production (LGP), Ecole Nationale d'Ingénieurs de Tarbes
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
0209 industrial biotechnology
Engineering
Decision support system
Decision-support system
Computer Networks and Communications
0211 other engineering and technologies
Risk management information systems
Context (language use)
Risk management tools
02 engineering and technology
Directed evidential networks
[INFO.INFO-AI]Computer Science [cs]/Artificial Intelligence [cs.AI]
020901 industrial engineering & automation
Autre
[MATH.MATH-ST]Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST]
Belief functions
Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Risk management
Risk assessment
021103 operations research
business.industry
Management science
Evidential reasoning approach
Computer Science Applications
Deconstruction (building)
Risk analysis (engineering)
Control and Systems Engineering
End-of-life management
business
Information Systems
Zdroj: IEEE Systems Journal
IEEE Systems Journal, IEEE, 2017, 11 (3), pp.1579-1588. ⟨10.1109/JSYST.2016.2522183⟩
ISSN: 1937-9234
1932-8184
DOI: 10.1109/JSYST.2016.2522183⟩
Popis: International audience; End-of-life management of complex systems is increasingly important for industry because of growing environmental concerns and associated regulations. In many areas, lack of hindsight and significant statistical information restricts the efficiency of end-of-life management processes and additional expert knowledge is required. In this context and to promote the reuse of secondhand components, a methodology supported by risk assessment tools is proposed. The proposal consists of an approach to combine expert and statistical knowledge to improve risk assessment. The theory of belief functions provides a common framework to facilitate fusion of multisource knowledge, and a directed evidential network is used to compute a measure of the risk level. An additional indicator is proposed to determine the result quality. Finally, the approach is applied to a scenario in aircraft deconstruction. In order to support the scientific contribution , a software prototype has been developed and used to illustrate the processing of directed evidential networks. Index Terms-Belief functions, decision-support system, directed evidential networks, end-of-life management, risk assessment.
Databáze: OpenAIRE