Temporal cross-correlation between influenza-like illnesses and invasive pneumococcal disease in The Netherlands

Autor: Wilke Hendriks, Arie van der Ende, Knol Mj, Hester Korthals Altes, Hendriek Boshuizen, Gé Donker, Arnold L. M. Dekkers
Přispěvatelé: AII - Infectious diseases, Medical Microbiology and Infection Prevention, Amsterdam institute for Infection and Immunity
Rok vydání: 2017
Předmět:
Male
0301 basic medicine
Epidemiology
respiratory tract infections
Disease
0302 clinical medicine
030212 general & internal medicine
Autoregressive integrated moving average
Child
education.field_of_study
Respiratory tract infections
Incidence
Incidence (epidemiology)
Middle Aged
pneumococci
Community-Acquired Infections
Pneumococcal infections
Streptococcus pneumoniae
Infectious Diseases
Child
Preschool
Original Article
Female
Seasons
cross‐correlation
influenza
Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine
medicine.medical_specialty
Adolescent
Population
pre‐whitening
Pneumococcal Infections
SARIMA
03 medical and health sciences
Spatio-Temporal Analysis
Influenza
Human
medicine
Humans
education
Aged
business.industry
Public Health
Environmental and Occupational Health
Original Articles
filtering
bacterial infections and mycoses
medicine.disease
Pneumonia
030104 developmental biology
Immunology
business
Sentinel Surveillance
Demography
Zdroj: Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses
Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 11(2), 130-137. Wiley-Blackwell
ISSN: 1750-2640
1750-2659
DOI: 10.1111/irv.12442
Popis: Background While the burden of community-acquired pneumonia and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) is still considerable, there is little insight in the factors contributing to disease. Previous research on the lagged relationship between respiratory viruses and pneumococcal disease incidence is inconclusive, and studies correcting for temporal autocorrelation are lacking. Objectives To investigate the temporal relation between influenza-like illnesses (ILI) and IPD, correcting for temporal autocorrelation. Methods Weekly counts of ILI were obtained from the Sentinel Practices of NIVEL Primary Care Database. IPD data were collected from the Dutch laboratory-based surveillance system for bacterial meningitis from 2004 to 2014. We analysed the correlation between time series, pre-whitening the dependent time series with the best-fit seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model to the independent time series. We performed cross-correlations between ILI and IPD incidences, and the (pre-whitened) residuals, in the overall population and in the elderly. Results We found significant cross-correlations between ILI and IPD incidences peaking at lags -3 overall and at 1 week in the 65+ population. However, after pre-whitening, no cross-correlations were apparent in either population group. Conclusion Our study suggests that ILI occurrence does not seem to be the major driver of IPD incidence in The Netherlands.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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