On the use of AR models for SHM: A global sensitivity and uncertainty analysis framework
Autor: | Gianluca Quattromani, Giorgio Busca, Alessio Datteo, Alfredo Cigada |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2018 |
Předmět: |
Risk
0211 other engineering and technologies Physical system 020101 civil engineering 02 engineering and technology computer.software_genre Autoregressive model Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering 0201 civil engineering Global Sensitivity Analysis Structural Health Monitoring Sensitivity (control systems) Safety Risk Reliability and Quality Uncertainty analysis Mahalanobis distance Propagation of uncertainty 021103 operations research Mahalanobis Squared Distance Uncertainty propagation Noise Reliability and Quality Structural health monitoring Data mining Safety computer |
Popis: | This paper proposes a complete sensitivity analysis of the use of Autoregressive models (AR) and Mahalanobis Squared Distance in the field of Structural Health Monitoring (SHM). Autoregressive models come from econometrics and their use for modelling the response of a physical system has been well established in the last twenty years. However, their aware application in engineering should be supported by knowledge about how they describe phenomena which are well defined by physics. Since autoregressive models are estimated by a least square minimization, statistical tools like Global Sensitivity Analysis and uncertainty propagation are powerful methods to investigate the performance of AR models applied to SHM. These methodologies allow one to understand the role of the uncertainty and uncorrelated noise by a rigorous approach based on statistical motivations. Moreover, it is possible to quantify the link between the mechanical properties of a system and the AR parameters, as well as the Mahalanobis Squared Distance. By fixing a factor prioritization among the variables of a AR model, it is possible to understand which are the parameters playing a main role in damage detection and which type of structural changes is possible to efficiently detect. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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