A Bayesian Interpretation of the Monty Hall Problem with Epistemic Uncertainty

Autor: Paolo Viappiani, Cristina E. Manfredotti
Přispěvatelé: Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), Mathématiques et Informatique Appliquées (MIA-Paris), Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-AgroParisTech-Université Paris-Saclay, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), DECISION, LIP6, Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Viappiani, Paolo
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: The 18th International Conference on Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence
The 18th International Conference on Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence, Sep 2021, Umea (Online), Sweden
HAL
Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence ISBN: 9783030855284
MDAI
Popis: The Monty Hall problem is a classic puzzle that, in addition to intriguing the general public, has stimulated research into the foundations of reasoning about uncertainty. A key insight to understanding the Monty Hall problem is to realize that the specification of the behavior of the host (i.e. Monty) of the game is fundamental. Here we go one step further and reason, in Bayesian way, in terms of epistemic uncertainty about the behavior of host, assuming subjective probabilities.
Databáze: OpenAIRE