Modelling road transport emissions in Germany – Current day situation and scenarios for 2040
| Autor: | Martin Otto Paul Ramacher, Volker Matthias, Thomas Pregger, Tudor Mocanu, Markus Quante, Christian Winkler, Johannes Bieser, Stefan Seum |
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| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
Future scenarios
emission modeling 050210 logistics & transportation traffic modeling Energiesystemanalyse 020209 energy 05 social sciences Environmental engineering Transportation 02 engineering and technology Institut für Verkehrsforschung road transport Road transport Order (exchange) Free play Atmospheric chemistry 0502 economics and business 0202 electrical engineering electronic engineering information engineering Current (fluid) Air quality index NOx General Environmental Science Civil and Structural Engineering |
| Zdroj: | Matthias, V.; Bieser, J.; Mocanu, T.; Pregger, T.; Quante, M.; Ramacher, M.; Seum, S.; Winkler, C.: Modelling road transport emissions in Germany – Current day situation and scenarios for 2040. In: Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment. Vol. 87 (2020) 102536. (DOI: /10.1016/j.trd.2020.102536) |
| ISSN: | 1361-9209 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.trd.2020.102536 |
| Popis: | In the German project Traffic Development and the Environment an advanced model chain was built up that includes traffic models, fleet composition developments, new driving technologies, and emission factors in order to produce spatio-temporal emission distributions for use in atmospheric chemistry transport models. This novel model chain was first used to calculate current day traffic emissions in Germany and then to develop consistent future scenarios for 2040. In all scenarios, NOx emissions from traffic decrease by approximately 80% while PM emissions show a lower reduction. The scenarios Free Play, which is based on a free market economics logic, and Regulated Shift, which considers stricter environmental regulations, represent large differences in traffic emissions. NOx emissions will be 32% lower and PM emissions 13% lower in the Regulated Shift scenario compared to the Free Play. The data can be combined with other anthropogenic emissions for investigating air quality with chemistry transport models. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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