Hybrid Model for Unemployment Impact on Social Life

Autor: Cristina Popirlan, Constantin-Cristian Dinu, Gabriel Stoian, Daniela Dănciulescu, Claudiu-Ionuţ Popîrlan, Irina-Valentina Tudor
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
social participation
unemployment
Social Problems
General Mathematics
media_common.quotation_subject
satisfaction with life
soziale Probleme
hybrid model
Arbeitslosigkeit
Modell
soziale Partizipation
Sociology & anthropology
Exklusion
EU-SILC
ARIMA model
linear regression model
social life
social exclusion
Order (exchange)
Moving average
Allgemeine Soziologie
Makrosoziologie
spezielle Theorien und Schulen
Entwicklung und Geschichte der Soziologie
Linear regression
QA1-939
Computer Science (miscellaneous)
Econometrics
Economics
General Sociology
Basic Research
General Concepts and History of Sociology
Sociological Theories
Autoregressive integrated moving average
Engineering (miscellaneous)
life satisfaction
exclusion
media_common
model
Life satisfaction
Lebenszufriedenheit
Regression
ddc:360
Autoregressive model
Soziologie
Anthropologie
Soziale Probleme und Sozialdienste
Unemployment
Social exclusion
ddc:301
Social problems and services
Mathematics
Zdroj: Mathematics
Volume 9
Issue 18
Mathematics, Vol 9, Iss 2278, p 2278 (2021)
ISSN: 2227-7390
DOI: 10.3390/math9182278
Popis: In this paper, we want to examine how unemployment impacts social life, and, by using datasets from six European countries, we analyze the effect of unemployment on two of the main aspects of social life: social exclusion and life satisfaction. First, we predict unemployment rates using the Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and the results are further used in a linear regression model alongside social exclusion and life satisfaction data, thus obtaining the hybrid model. With the help of the point prediction method, we use the hybrid model to predict new values for the two aspects of social life for the upcoming three years and we analyze the results obtained in order to better understand their interconnection. The results suggest that unemployment has particularly adverse effects on the subjective perception of life satisfaction, furthermore increasing the social exclusion percentage.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:
Nepřihlášeným uživatelům se plný text nezobrazuje