Transportation emissions scenarios for New York City under different carbon intensities of electricity and electric vehicle adoption rates
Autor: | P. Ozge Kaplan, Rebecca Dodder, Mine Isik |
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Rok vydání: | 2021 |
Předmět: |
business.product_category
Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment Natural resource economics business.industry Fossil fuel Energy Engineering and Power Technology 02 engineering and technology 010402 general chemistry 021001 nanoscience & nanotechnology 01 natural sciences Article Energy policy 0104 chemical sciences Electronic Optical and Magnetic Materials Fuel Technology Electrification Electric vehicle Environmental science Environmental impact assessment Electricity 0210 nano-technology business Stock (geology) Efficient energy use |
Zdroj: | Nat Energy |
ISSN: | 2058-7546 |
DOI: | 10.1038/s41560-020-00740-2 |
Popis: | Like many cities around the world, New York City is establishing policies to reduce CO2 emissions from all energy sectors by 2050. Understanding the impact of varying degrees of electric vehicle adoption and CO2 intensities on emissions reduction in the city is critical. Here, using a technology-rich, bottom-up, energy system optimization model, we analyse the cost and air emissions impacts of New York City’s proposed CO2 reduction policies for the transportation sector through a scenario framework. Our analysis reveals that the electrification of light-duty vehicles at earlier periods is essential for deeper reductions in air emissions. When further combined with energy efficiency improvements, these actions contribute to CO2 reductions under the scenarios of more CO2-intense electricity. Substantial reliance on fossil fuels and a need for structural change pose challenges to cost-effective CO2 reductions in the transportation sector. Here we find that uncertainties associated with decarbonization of the electric grid have a minimum influence on the cost-effectiveness of CO2 reduction pathways for the transportation sector. City-scale emission scenarios are critical for transport and energy sector policy making. Using a model that accounts for building stock and transportation fleets, Isik et al. visualize emission changes in the transport sector in New York City under various electric vehicle adoption and grid decarbonization scenarios. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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