Multi-stage vector-borne zoonoses models: A global analysis
Autor: | Abderrahman Iggidr, Derdei Bichara, Laura Smith |
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Přispěvatelé: | Department of Mathematics [Fullerton], California State University [Fullerton] (CSU), Inria Nancy - Grand Est, Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria), Institut Élie Cartan de Lorraine (IECL), Université de Lorraine (UL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Inria + California State University at Fullerton |
Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2018 |
Předmět: |
0106 biological sciences
0301 basic medicine Class (set theory) Stage progression Endemic Diseases General Mathematics Immunology [MATH.MATH-DS]Mathematics [math]/Dynamical Systems [math.DS] Basic Reproduction Number Mathematics Subject Classification: 92D30 34D23 34D20 34D40 34A34 Global stability Disease Vectors Biology Models Biological 01 natural sciences Host Specificity General Biochemistry Genetics and Molecular Biology Nonlinear dynamical systems Combinatorics 03 medical and health sciences [SDV.MHEP.MI]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Infectious diseases Zoonoses Animals Humans Computer Simulation One Health General Environmental Science Pharmacology Host (biology) General Neuroscience Multi-host Arthropod Vectors Mathematical Concepts Amplification effect 010601 ecology Multi stage 030104 developmental biology Nonlinear Dynamics Computational Theory and Mathematics Vector (epidemiology) Host-Pathogen Interactions Vector-borne zoonoses [SDV.SPEE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie General Agricultural and Biological Sciences Basic reproduction number Arthropod Vector |
Zdroj: | Bulletin of Mathematical Biology Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, Springer Verlag, 2018, 80 (7), pp.1810-1848. ⟨10.1007/s11538-018-0435-1⟩ Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 2018, 80 (7), pp.1810-1848. ⟨10.1007/s11538-018-0435-1⟩ |
ISSN: | 0092-8240 1522-9602 |
DOI: | 10.1007/s11538-018-0435-1⟩ |
Popis: | A class of models that describes the interactions between multiple host species and an arthropod vector is formulated and its dynamics investigated. A host-vector disease model where the host's infection is structured into n stages is formulated and a complete global dynamics analysis is provided. The basic reproduction number acts as a sharp threshold, that is, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable (GAS) whenever [Formula: see text] and that a unique interior endemic equilibrium exists and is GAS if [Formula: see text]. We proceed to extend this model with m host species, capturing a class of zoonoses where the cross-species bridge is an arthropod vector. The basic reproduction number of the multi-host-vector, [Formula: see text], is derived and shown to be the sum of basic reproduction numbers of the model when each host is isolated with an arthropod vector. It is shown that the disease will persist in all hosts as long as it persists in one host. Moreover, the overall basic reproduction number increases with respect to the host and that bringing the basic reproduction number of each isolated host below unity in each host is not sufficient to eradicate the disease in all hosts. This is a type of "amplification effect," that is, for the considered vector-borne zoonoses, the increase in host diversity increases the basic reproduction number and therefore the disease burden. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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