Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources of the Largest Hydropower Plant Reservoir in Southeast Brazil
| Autor: | Carlos Rogério de Mello, Jorge A. Guzman, Nayara Paula Andrade Vieira, Marcelo Ribeiro Viola, Samuel Beskow, Lívia Alves Alvarenga |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Wet season
hydrological simulation 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences Geography Planning and Development 0207 environmental engineering Drainage basin Climate change 02 engineering and technology Aquatic Science hydrological impacts 01 natural sciences Biochemistry 020701 environmental engineering TD201-500 Hydropower 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Water Science and Technology geography Baseflow geography.geographical_feature_category Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes business.industry regional climate models Hydraulic engineering Water resources climate change Environmental science Climate model Surface runoff business Water resource management TC1-978 |
| Zdroj: | Water Volume 13 Issue 11 Water, Vol 13, Iss 1560, p 1560 (2021) |
| ISSN: | 2073-4441 |
| DOI: | 10.3390/w13111560 |
| Popis: | Approximately 70% of all the electric energy produced in Brazil comes from hydropower plants. In this context, the Grande River Basin (GRB) stands out in Brazil. Some studies have been carried out to investigate the impacts of climate change in tropical regions to support water resources’ management and planning. This study aims to project the changes in the runoff that feed the Furnas Hydropower Plant (FHP) reservoir (GRB-Furnas basin), the largest and most important facility in Southeast Brazil. The lavras simulation of hydrology model (LASH) was used to project the impacts on runoff and hydrological droughts over the century in GRB-Furnas. The regional climate models (RCMs) Eta-HadGEM-ES, Eta-MIROC5, and Eta-CanESM2 forced the LASH model from 2007 to 2099, taking the representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5. LASH simulated the runoff adequately for the baseline period (1961–2005) using the RCMs’ outputs. A noticeable reduction in precipitation was identified in the wet season, especially in the 2007–2040 period for RCP4.5 and in the 2071–2099 period for RCP8.5. As a result, a significant reduction in the runoff, mainly in the baseflow, and an increase in droughts’ severity were projected throughout the XXI Century, which may compromise the water security to the FHP reservoir. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
|