Climate Change Public Opinion Dynamics and Choice Experimental Designs in the United States, May 2023

Autor: Mayer, Adam, Smith, E. Keith, Kolcava, Dennis
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
DOI: 10.17605/osf.io/w5upb
Popis: Public opinion plays a crucial role facilitating development and implementation of environmental policies. This projects approaches four aspects of environmental policy support and behavior: (i) we explore how ‘second-order’ beliefs vary by partisan social identity; (ii) we build upon recent advancements in choice-experimental designs to identify substantive support for carbon tax and fossil fuel subsidies policy instruments and packages. That is, we propose a methodological advancement, allowing for researchers to leverage the casual inferences of choice experimental designs, alongside substantive understandings of policy support. The differences in support for carbon taxes and fossil fuel subsidies are identified using a parallelized conjoint experiment, as well as via follow-up probing questions; (iii), further, building up recent choice experimental design methodological advancements, we explore measurement (in)consistency with respondents for conjoint experimental designs. Here we first explore which individual characteristics (e.g. political and substantive interests in subject matters and cognition abilities) are associated with (in)consistency in responding to the conjoint experiment, and second, how (in)consistency varies by the measurement scale (e.g. ‘Proposal A/B’, ‘Support Proposal Y/N’); lastly, (iv) we also include a short item count technique experiment (‘list experiment’) to further build upon existing research into patterning of over-reporting pro-environmental behavior. Here, we explore the likelihood to over-report vegetarian diets and under-report eating fast food beef hamburgers. In sum, this survey contains 1 larger experimental element (conjoint experiment) and two smaller experiments (factorial experiment and list experiments), all of which are optimized for online survey implementations. In the follow section below, we elaborate on each of these research projects, and develop expectations for our future findings.
Databáze: OpenAIRE