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Qi Li,1 Jian Zhang,1 Qi Gao,1 Jialu Fu,1,2 Mengke Li,1 Hengchao Liu,1 Chen Chen,1 Dong Zhang,1 Zhimin Geng1 1Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xiâan Jiaotong University, Xiâan, Peopleâs Republic of China; 2Department of Pediatric Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xiâan Jiaotong University, Xiâan, Peopleâs Republic of ChinaCorrespondence: Zhimin Geng, Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xiâan Jiaotong University, Xiâan, Peopleâs Republic of China, Email gengzhimin@mail.xjtu.edu.cnBackground: To explore and screen preoperative serum immune response level-related biomarkers with better prognostic ability and developed a prognostic model for decision-making in clinical practice for gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) patients.Methods: A total of 427 patients who underwent radical resection for GBC in the Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xiâan Jiaotong University from January 2011 to December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (time-ROC) was performed to determine the prognostic predictive power of preoperative biomarkers. A nomogram survival model was established and validated.Results: Time-ROC indicated that the preoperative fibrinogen-to-albumin ratio (FAR) had a better predictive ability for overall survival among preoperative serum immune response level-related biomarkers. Multivariate analysis indicated that FAR was an independent risk factor (P< 0.05). The proportion of clinicopathological characteristics of poor prognosis (such as advanced T stage, and N1-2 stage) was significantly higher in high FAR group (P< 0.05). Subgroup analyses indicate the prognostic discrimination ability of FAR depended on CA19-9, CA125, liver involvement, major vascular invasion, perineural invasion, T stage, N stage, and TNM stage (all P < 0.05). A nomogram model was established based on the prognostic independent risk factors with the C-index of 0.803 (95% CI:0.771~0.835) and 0.774 (95% CI:0.696~0.852) in the training and testing sets, respectively. The decision curve analysis indicated the nomogram model had a better predictive ability than the FAR and TNM staging system in the training and testing sets.Conclusion: Preoperative serum FAR has a better predictive ability for overall survival among preoperative serum immune response level-related biomarkers, and it can be used for survival assessment of GBC and guide clinical decision-making.Keywords: gallbladder carcinoma, fibrinogen to albumin ratio, inflammation, prognosis, nomogram |
