Has climate change driven urbanization in Africa?
| Autor: | J. Vernon Henderson, Uwe Deichmann, Adam Storeygard |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2017 |
| Předmět: |
Economics and Econometrics
Economic growth 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences media_common.quotation_subject Climate change Sample (statistics) GF Human ecology. Anthropogeography Development Urban services 01 natural sciences Article Agricultural economics Urban climate Urbanization 0502 economics and business 050207 economics 0105 earth and related environmental sciences media_common business.industry 05 social sciences Geography Agriculture Service (economics) Derived demand business GE Environmental Sciences |
| Zdroj: | Journal of Development Economics. 124:60-82 |
| ISSN: | 0304-3878 |
| Popis: | This paper documents strong but differentiated links between climate and urbanization in large panels of districts and cities in Sub-Saharan Africa, which has dried substantially in the past fifty years. The key dimension of heterogeneity is whether cities are likely to have manufacturing for export outside their regions, as opposed to being exclusively market towns providing local services to agricultural hinterlands. In regions where cities are likely to be manufacturing centers (25% of our sample), drier conditions increase urbanization and total urban incomes. There, urban migration provides an “escape” from negative agricultural moisture shocks. However, in the remaining market towns (75% of our sample), cities just service agriculture. Reduced farm incomes from negative shocks reduce demand for urban services and derived demand for urban labor. There, drying has little impact on urbanization or total urban incomes. Lack of structural transformation in Africa inhibits a better response to climate change. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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