Closed form solution of the SIR model for the COVID-19 outbreak in Italy

Autor: Riccardo Giubilei
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
DOI: 10.1101/2020.06.06.20124313
Popis: The CODIV-19 outbreak in early 2020 generated a tremendous effort of epidemiologists and researchers to fit the experimental data with the solutions of the SIR model equations [1] or with more sophisticated models. In this paper we show that under same hypotheses, a closed form solution exists that reasonably fits the experimental data for Italy, and the results can be extended to any other area.
Databáze: OpenAIRE