Asymptotic independence and support detection techniques for heavy-tailed multivariate data

Autor: Jaakko Lehtomaa, Sidney I. Resnick
Přispěvatelé: Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Survival and event history analysis
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Statistics and Probability
HIDDEN REGULAR VARIATION
Economics and Econometrics
Multivariate statistics
Mathematics - Statistics Theory
Statistics Theory (math.ST)
01 natural sciences
Power law
Set (abstract data type)
010104 statistics & probability
Multivariate regular variation
Dimension (vector space)
Asymptotic independence
DEPENDENCE
NONPARAMETRIC-ESTIMATION
0502 economics and business
Statistics
Consistent estimator
111 Mathematics
FOS: Mathematics
Test statistic
EXTREMOGRAM
512 Business and Management
0101 mathematics
90A46
91B30
60G70
60K10
62F05
62G32

Heavy-tailed
POWER-LAW DISTRIBUTIONS
Risk management
050205 econometrics
Mathematics
business.industry
05 social sciences
Support estimation
Estimator
SPECTRAL MEASURE
COEFFICIENT
Statistics
Probability and Uncertainty

business
SET
BEHAVIOR
Popis: One of the central objectives of modern risk management is to find a set of risks where the probability of multiple simultaneous catastrophic events is negligible. That is, risks are taken only when their joint behavior seems sufficiently independent. This paper aims to help to identify asymptotically independent risks by providing additional tools for describing dependence structures of multiple risks when the individual risks can obtain very large values. The study is performed in the setting of multivariate regular variation. We show how asymptotic independence is connected to properties of the support of the angular measure and present an asymptotically consistent estimator of the support. The estimator generalizes to any dimension $N\geq 2$ and requires no prior knowledge of the support. The validity of the support estimate can be rigorously tested under mild assumptions by an asymptotically normal test statistic.
40 pages, 8 figures
Databáze: OpenAIRE