Cost of illness of ischemic heart disease in Japan: a time trend and future projections
| Autor: | Tomonori Hasegawa, Toshiharu Gochi, Kanako Seto, Takefumi Kitazawa, Kunichika Matsumoto, Rebeka Amin |
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| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2018 |
| Předmět: |
Male
Aging Ischemic heart disease Population Myocardial Ischemia Disease 03 medical and health sciences Indirect costs 0302 clinical medicine Cost of Illness Japan parasitic diseases Cost of illness Medical economics Medicine Humans 030212 general & internal medicine education Aged Estimation education.field_of_study 030505 public health business.industry lcsh:Public aspects of medicine Public Health Environmental and Occupational Health lcsh:RA1-1270 General Medicine Middle Aged Models Theoretical Health policy Key factors Life expectancy Female 0305 other medical science Ischemic heart business Demography Research Article Forecasting |
| Zdroj: | Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine, Vol 23, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2018) |
| ISSN: | 1347-4715 1342-078X |
| Popis: | Background Ischemic heart disease (IHD/ICD10: I20-I25) is the second leading cause of deaths in Japan and accounts for 40% of deaths due to heart diseases. This study aimed to calculate the economic burden of IHD using the cost of illness (COI) method and to identify key factors that drive the change of the economic burden of IHD. Methods We calculated the cost of illness (COI) every 3 years from 1996 to 2014 using governmental statistics. We then predicted the COI for every 3 years starting from 2017 up to 2029 using the fixed and variable model estimations. Only the estimated future population was used as a variable in the fixed model estimation. By contrast, variable model estimation considered the time trend of health-related indicators over the past 18 years. We derived the COI from the sum of direct and indirect costs (morbidity and mortality). Results The past estimation of COI slightly increased from 1493.8 billion yen in 1996 to 1708.3 billion yen in 2014. Future forecasts indicated that it would decrease from 1619.0 billion yen in 2017 to 1220.5 billion yen in 2029. Conclusion The past estimation showed that the COI of IHD increased; in the mixed model, the COI was predicted to decrease with the continuing trend of health-related indicators. The COI of IHD in the future projection showed that, although the average age of death increased by social aging, the influence of the number of deaths and mortality cost decreased. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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