Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential

Autor: Jose Rafael Guarin, Pierre Martre, Frank Ewert, Heidi Webber, Sibylle Dueri, Daniel Calderini, Matthew Reynolds, Gemma Molero, Daniel Miralles, Guillermo Garcia, Gustavo Slafer, Francesco Giunta, Diego N L Pequeno, Tommaso Stella, Mukhtar Ahmed, Phillip D Alderman, Bruno Basso, Andres G Berger, Marco Bindi, Gennady Bracho-Mujica, Davide Cammarano, Yi Chen, Benjamin Dumont, Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei, Elias Fereres, Roberto Ferrise, Thomas Gaiser, Yujing Gao, Margarita Garcia-Vila, Sebastian Gayler, Zvi Hochman, Gerrit Hoogenboom, Leslie A Hunt, Kurt C Kersebaum, Claas Nendel, Jørgen E Olesen, Taru Palosuo, Eckart Priesack, Johannes W M Pullens, Alfredo Rodríguez, Reimund P Rötter, Margarita Ruiz Ramos, Mikhail A Semenov, Nimai Senapati, Stefan Siebert, Amit Kumar Srivastava, Claudio Stöckle, Iwan Supit, Fulu Tao, Peter Thorburn, Enli Wang, Tobias Karl David Weber, Liujun Xiao, Zhao Zhang, Chuang Zhao, Jin Zhao, Zhigan Zhao, Yan Zhu, Senthold Asseng
Přispěvatelé: University of Florida [Gainesville] (UF), Center for Climate Systems Research [New York] (CCSR), Columbia University [New York], Écophysiologie des Plantes sous Stress environnementaux (LEPSE), Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut Agro Montpellier, Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro), Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation [Bonn] (INRES), Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn, Universidad Austral de Chile, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research [CGIAR] (CGIAR), KWS Momont SAS, Universitad de Buenos Aires = University of Buenos Aires [Argentina], Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiologicas y Ecologicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura (IFEVA), Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas [Buenos Aires] (CONICET)-Facultad de Agronomía [Buenos Aires], Universidad de Buenos Aires [Buenos Aires] (UBA)-Universidad de Buenos Aires [Buenos Aires] (UBA), Universitat de Lleida, Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats (ICREA), Università degli Studi di Sassari = University of Sassari [Sassari] (UNISS), Pir Mehr Ali Shah Arid Agriculture University = PMAS-Arid Agriculture University Rawalpindi (AAUR), Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), Oklahoma State University [Stillwater] (OSU), Michigan State University [East Lansing], Michigan State University System, Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria (INIA), Department of Agriculture, Food, Environment and Forestry (DAGRI), Università degli Studi di Firenze = University of Florence (UniFI), Georg-August-University = Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Purdue University [West Lafayette], Institute of geographical sciences and natural resources research [CAS] (IGSNRR), Chinese Academy of Sciences [Beijing] (CAS), Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech [Gembloux], Université de Liège, Instituto de Agricultura Sostenible - Institute for Sustainable Agriculture (IAS CSIC), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Madrid] (CSIC), Universidad de Córdoba = University of Córdoba [Córdoba], University of Hohenheim, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation [Canberra] (CSIRO), University of Guelph, Global Change Research Centre (CzechGlobe), University of Potsdam = Universität Potsdam, Aarhus University [Aarhus], Natural Resources Institute Finland (LUKE), Helmholtz Zentrum München = German Research Center for Environmental Health, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha = University of Castilla-La Mancha (UCLM), Centro de Estudios e Investigación para la Gestión de Riesgos Agrarios y Medioambientales (CEIGRAM), Universidad Politécnica de Madrid (UPM), Centre for Biodiversity and Sustainable Land-use [University of Göttingen] (CBL), Rothamsted Research, Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC), Washington State University (WSU), Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen] (WUR), Universität Kassel [Kassel], Zhejiang University, Nanjing Agricultural University (NAU), Building artificial Intelligence between trust, Responsibility and Decision (BIRD), Department of Complex Systems, Artificial Intelligence & Robotics (LORIA - AIS), Laboratoire Lorrain de Recherche en Informatique et ses Applications (LORIA), Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Université de Lorraine (UL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Université de Lorraine (UL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Laboratoire Lorrain de Recherche en Informatique et ses Applications (LORIA), Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Université de Lorraine (UL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Université de Lorraine (UL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Beijing Normal University (BNU), China Agricultural University (CAU), Technische Universität Munchen - Université Technique de Munich [Munich, Allemagne] (TUM), International Wheat Yield Partnership (IWYP, Grant IWYP115) and the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT)., IWYP, CIMMYT (Mexico), and the Chilean Technical and Scientific Research Council (CONICYT) by FONDECYT Project 1141048, National Natural Science Foundation of China (Project Nos. 31761143006 and 41571493), Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of Czech Republic through SustEs (CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/000797), Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) through Designing Future Wheat (BB/P016855/1) and Achieving Sustainable Agricultural Systems (NE/N018125/1)., International Wheat Yield Partnership, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center, Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica (Chile), Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico (Chile), National Natural Science Foundation of China, Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports (Czech Republic), Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (UK)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Guarin, J R, Martre, P, Ewert, F, Webber, H, Dueri, S, Calderini, D, Reynolds, M, Molero, G, Miralles, D, Garcia, G, Slafer, G, Giunta, F, Pequeno, D N L, Stella, T, Ahmed, M, Alderman, P D, Basso, B, Berger, A G, Bindi, M, Bracho-Mujica, G, Cammarano, D, Chen, Y, Dumont, B, Rezaei, E E, Fereres, E, Ferrise, R, Gaiser, T, Gao, Y, Garcia-Vila, M, Gayler, S, Hochman, Z, Hoogenboom, G, Hunt, L A, Kersebaum, K C, Nendel, C, Olesen, J E, Palosuo, T, Priesack, E, Pullens, J W M, Rodríguez, A, Rötter, R P, Ramos, M R, Semenov, M A, Senapati, N, Siebert, S, Srivastava, A K, Stöckle, C, Supit, I, Tao, F, Thorburn, P, Wang, E, Weber, T K D, Xiao, L, Zhang, Z, Zhao, C, Zhao, J, Zhao, Z, Zhu, Y & Asseng, S 2022, ' Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential ', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 17, no. 12, 124045 . https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca77c
Environmental Research Letters 17 (2022) 12
Environmental Research Letters, 17(12)
Environmental Research Letters
Environmental Research Letters, 2022, 17 (12), pp.124045. ⟨10.1088/1748-9326/aca77c⟩
Environ. Res. Lett. 17:124045 (2022)
ISSN: 3176-1143
1748-9318
1748-9326
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aca77c
Popis: Wheat is the most widely grown food crop, with 761 Mt produced globally in 2020. To meet the expected grain demand by mid-century, wheat breeding strategies must continue to improve upon yield-advancing physiological traits, regardless of climate change impacts. Here, the best performing doubled haploid (DH) crosses with an increased canopy photosynthesis from wheat field experiments in the literature were extrapolated to the global scale with a multi-model ensemble of process-based wheat crop models to estimate global wheat production. The DH field experiments were also used to determine a quantitative relationship between wheat production and solar radiation to estimate genetic yield potential. The multi-model ensemble projected a global annual wheat production of 1050 ± 145 Mt due to the improved canopy photosynthesis, a 37% increase, without expanding cropping area. Achieving this genetic yield potential would meet the lower estimate of the projected grain demand in 2050, albeit with considerable challenges.
This study was a part of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Wheat Phase 4. The study was supported by the International Wheat Yield Partnership (IWYP, Grant IWYP115) and the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT). Experiments carried out in Valdivia (Chile) were funded by IWYP, CIMMYT (Mexico), and the Chilean Technical and Scientific Research Council (CONICYT) by FONDECYT Project 1141048. The experimental work conducted at Valdivia by Dr Jaime Herrera (UACh) is appreciated. F T was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Project Nos. 31761143006 and 41571493). K C K was supported by the Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of Czech Republic through SustEs (CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/000797). Rothamsted Research receives support from the Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) through Designing Future Wheat (BB/P016855/1) and Achieving Sustainable Agricultural Systems (NE/N018125/1).
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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