Understanding Technology, Fuel, Market and Policy Drivers for New York State’s Power Sector Transformation
| Autor: | P. Ozge Kaplan, Mine Isik |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
020209 energy
energy systems analysis Geography Planning and Development TJ807-830 02 engineering and technology power sector 010501 environmental sciences Management Monitoring Policy and Law Power sector TD194-195 CO2 emissions 01 natural sciences Renewable energy sources Article SO2 emissions energy use decomposition analysis 0202 electrical engineering electronic engineering information engineering GE1-350 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Driving factors Environmental effects of industries and plants Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment business.industry Fossil fuel Divisia index Environmental economics Environmental sciences Offshore wind power Transformation (function) Electricity generation NOx emissions MARKAL Environmental science State (computer science) LMDI business |
| Zdroj: | Sustainability Volume 13 Issue 1 Sustainability, Vol 13, Iss 265, p 265 (2021) |
| ISSN: | 2071-1050 |
| DOI: | 10.3390/su13010265 |
| Popis: | A thorough understanding of the drivers that affect the emission levels from electricity generation, support sound design and the implementation of further emission reduction goals are presented here. For instance, New York State has already committed a transition to 100% clean energy by 2040. This paper identifies the relationships among driving factors and the changes in emissions levels between 1990 and 2050 using the logarithmic mean divisia index analysis. The analysis relies on historical data and outputs from techno-economic-energy system modeling to elude future power sector pathways. Three scenarios, including a business-as-usual scenario and two policy scenarios, explore the changes in utility structure, efficiency, fuel type, generation, and emission factors, considering the non-fossil-based technology options and air regulations. We present retrospective and prospective analysis of carbon dioxide, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxide emissions for the New York State&rsquo s power sector. Based on our findings, although the intensity varies by period and emission type, in aggregate, fossil fuel mix change can be defined as the main contributor to reduce emissions. Electricity generation level variations and technical efficiency have relatively smaller impacts. We also observe that increased emissions due to nuclear phase-out will be avoided by the onshore and offshore wind with a lower fraction met by solar until 2050. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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