Validation of the kidney failure risk equation in a Portuguese cohort

Autor: Bernardo Marques da Silva, José Charreu, Inês Duarte, Cristina Outerelo, Joana Gameiro
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Nefrología (English Edition).
ISSN: 2013-2514
DOI: 10.1016/j.nefroe.2022.03.007
Popis: In chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients, the risk of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) is highly variable. In 2011, Tangri et al. developed the kidney failure risk equations (KFRE) to predict the 2 and 5-year probability of requiring kidney replacement therapy (KRT). The KFRE is an easily calculated 4-variable equation which has been extensively validated in multiple cohorts. The aim of this study was to validate this risk score in a Portuguese cohort.We conducted a retrospective analysis of CKD patients stage 3-5 referred for nephrology consult at Centro Hospitalar Universitário Lisboa Norte during the first 6 months of 2018. Age, gender, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria were assessed. The 4-variable kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) calibrated to a non-North American population was calculated. Requirement of KRT was assessed in a 2-year follow-up. We assessed the Cox logistic regression method of the KFRE to predict KRT requirement and the discriminatory ability was determined using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. A cut-off value was defined as that with the highest validity.360 patients were included and 54.4% were male. Mean age was 74.9±12.2 years, serum creatinine was 1.97±0.84mg/dL, eGFR was 33.4±12.13ml/min/1.73mWe have independently externally validated the 2-year KFRE and shown that it has excellent discrimination. The KFRE should be incorporated in clinical care of patients with CKD to improve patient-clinician dialogue and provide guidance on timing of referral for nephrology evaluation and planning for dialysis access.
Databáze: OpenAIRE