Figure S1 from Will an outbreak exceed available resources for control? Estimating the risk from invading pathogens using practical definitions of a severe epidemic

Autor: Thompson, R. N., Gilligan, C. A., Cunniffe, N. J.
Rok vydání: 2020
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.13174323.v1
Popis: Schematic showing how the probability of a severe epidemic under the “concurrent size” definition can be deduced for the stochastic SIR model. The probability corresponding to each state (I,R) is deduced iteratively in the order 1,2,3... (red). The black arrows indicate which previous values are used to inform each new deduction.
Databáze: OpenAIRE