Finding the future in policy discourse: an analysis of city resilience plans
| Autor: | Taylor, Zack, Fitzgibbons, Joanne, Mitchell, Carrie L. |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
2019-20 coronavirus outbreak
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Political Science Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) foresight 0211 other engineering and technologies 0507 social and economic geography 02 engineering and technology ComputingMethodologies_ARTIFICIALINTELLIGENCE Planning theory 11. Sustainability Sociology urban planning practice Resilience (network) resilience planning theory General Environmental Science 05 social sciences General Social Sciences futures 021107 urban & regional planning Environmental ethics Futures studies Normative 050703 geography Futures contract |
| Zdroj: | Regional Studies Political Science Publications |
| ISSN: | 1360-0591 0034-3404 |
| DOI: | 10.1080/00343404.2020.1760235 |
| Popis: | Managing future uncertainty is the essence of planning. How planners conceptualize the future therefore has important practical and normative implications as contemporary decisions have long-term impacts that may be irreversible and distribute costs and benefits across society. A discourse analysis of strategies prepared under the 100 Resilient Cities programme reveals that while they are ostensibly forward-looking and cognizant of uncertainty, most presume a knowable future (epistemic certainty) and focus on well-understood or recently experienced risks. Few acknowledge the future’s inherent unknowability (ontic uncertainty). Those that do emphasize community self-help; others describe top-down, government-led initiatives. Most strategies also present an image of societal consensus, downplaying the potential for legitimate disagreement over means and ends (discursive uncertainty). These findings suggest that new conceptualizations of future uncertainty have had limited impacts on planning practice. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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