A Simple Method for Causal Analysis of Return on IT Investment
Autor: | Manaf Zargoush, James L. Oakes, Hanan Edrees, Farrokh Alemi |
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Rok vydání: | 2011 |
Předmět: |
Counterfactual thinking
lcsh:Medical technology Article Subject Operations research Computer science Biomedical Engineering Health Informatics 01 natural sciences Article 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Return on investment Econometrics 030212 general & internal medicine Productivity model 0101 mathematics Investment performance Productivity lcsh:R5-920 010102 general mathematics Partial productivity Investment (macroeconomics) lcsh:R855-855.5 Surgery Profitability index lcsh:Medicine (General) Biotechnology |
Zdroj: | Journal of Healthcare Engineering, Vol 2, Iss 1, Pp 43-53 (2011) |
ISSN: | 2040-2295 |
DOI: | 10.1260/2040-2295.2.1.43 |
Popis: | This paper proposes a method for examining the causal relationship among investment in information technology (IT) and the organization's productivity. In this method, first a strong relationship among (1) investment in IT, (2) use of IT and (3) organization's productivity is verified using correlations. Second, the assumption that IT investment preceded improved productivity is tested using partial correlation. Finally, the assumption of what may have happened in the absence of IT investment, the so called counterfactual, is tested through forecasting productivity at different levels of investment. The paper applies the proposed method to investment in the Veterans Health Information Systems and Technology Architecture (VISTA) system. Result show that the causal analysis can be done, even with limited data. Furthermore, because the procedure relies on overall organization's productivity, it might be more objective than when the analyst picks and chooses which costs and benefits should be included in the analysis. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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