Cigarette Pack Prices and Sales Following Policy Changes in California, 2011-2018
Autor: | David C Boettiger, Justin S. White |
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Rok vydání: | 2020 |
Předmět: |
Counterfactual thinking
Public Policy Tobacco Industry Medical and Health Sciences Agricultural economics California Tobacco Per capita Humans Excise AJPH Policy health care economics and organizations Consumption (economics) Tobacco Smoke and Health Prevention Smoking Public Health Environmental and Occupational Health State government Commerce Tobacco Products Consumer Behavior Taxes Business Public Health Cigarette pack Control methods State Government |
Zdroj: | Am J Public Health American journal of public health, vol 110, iss 7 |
ISSN: | 1541-0048 |
Popis: | Objectives. To estimate the combined effect of California’s Tobacco 21 law (enacted June 2016) and $2-per-pack cigarette excise tax increase (enacted April 2017) on cigarette prices and sales, compared with matched comparator states. Methods. We used synthetic control methods to compare cigarette prices and sales after the policies were enacted, relative to what we would have expected without the policy reforms. To estimate the counterfactual, we matched pre-reform covariate and outcome trends between California and control states to construct a “synthetic” California. Results. Compared with the synthetic control in 2018, cigarette prices in California were $1.89 higher ($7.86 vs $5.97; P Conclusions. California’s new cigarette tax was largely passed on to consumers. The new cigarette tax, combined with the Tobacco 21 law, have contributed to a rapid and substantial reduction in cigarette consumption in California. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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