A Hybrid Method for Short-Term Traffic Congestion Forecasting Using Genetic Algorithms and Cross Entropy

Autor: Antonio D. Masegosa, Eneko Osaba, Pedro Lopez-Garcia, Enrique Onieva, Asier Perallos
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
Zdroj: IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
ISSN: 1558-0016
1524-9050
DOI: 10.1109/tits.2015.2491365
Popis: This paper presents a method of optimizing the elements of a hierarchy of fuzzy-rule-based systems (FRBSs). It is a hybridization of a genetic algorithm (GA) and the cross-entropy (CE) method, which is here called GACE. It is used to predict congestion in a 9-km-long stretch of the I5 freeway in California, with time horizons of 5, 15, and 30 min. A comparative study of different levels of hybridization in GACE is made. These range from a pure GA to a pure CE, passing through different weights for each of the combined techniques. The results prove that GACE is more accurate than GA or CE alone for predicting short-term traffic congestion.
Databáze: OpenAIRE