Prediction of Rice Cultivation in India—Support Vector Regression Approach with Various Kernels for Non-Linear Patterns

Autor: B. M. Nayana, Christophe Chesneau, Kolla Rohith Kumar, Chinnarao Kurangi, Kalpana Polisetty, Kiran Kumar Paidipati
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: AgriEngineering, Vol 3, Iss 12, Pp 182-198 (2021)
AgriEngineering
Volume 3
Issue 2
Pages 12-198
ISSN: 2624-7402
Popis: The prediction of rice yields plays a major role in reducing food security problems in India and also suggests that government agencies manage the over or under situations of production. Advanced machine learning techniques are playing a vital role in the accurate prediction of rice yields in dealing with nonlinear complex situations instead of traditional statistical methods. In the present study, the researchers made an attempt to predict the rice yield through support vector regression (SVR) models with various kernels (linear, polynomial, and radial basis function) for India overall and the top five rice producing states by considering influence parameters, such as the area under cultivation and production, as independent variables for the years 1962–2018. The best-fitted models were chosen based on the cross-validation and hyperparameter optimization of various kernel parameters. The root-mean-square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) were calculated for the training and testing datasets. The results revealed that SVR with various kernels fitted to India overall, as well as the major rice producing states, would explore the nonlinear patterns to understand the precise situations of yield prediction. This study will be helpful for farmers as well as the central and state governments for estimating rice yield in advance with optimal resources.
Databáze: OpenAIRE