The impact of temperature, population size and median age on COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak
| Autor: | Dhanushka Kobbekaduwa, Malika Lakmali Guruge, Kushan Tharuka Lulbadda |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Microbiology (medical)
Single variable COVID-19 outbreak Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Epidemiology Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Negative binomial distribution Median age medicine.disease_cause 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Health care medicine 030212 general & internal medicine Coronavirus 030219 obstetrics & reproductive medicine business.industry Population size Public Health Environmental and Occupational Health Temperature Outbreak Infectious Diseases Original Article Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270 business Demography |
| Zdroj: | Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health, Vol 9, Iss, Pp 231-236 (2021) Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health |
| ISSN: | 2213-3984 |
| Popis: | Objectives This study aims to explore the association between the spread of COVID-19 and external parameters. In this regard, temperature, population size, median age, and health care facilities of 58 different countries are considered as external factors. Methods A negative binomial regression model was fitted to identify the associations between the factors and cases of COVID-19 during the study periods. Results The temperature, population size, and median age are positively associated with the spreading rate of COVID-19. There is no evidence supporting that case counts of COVID-19 could decline in countries with better health care facilities. Also, an empirical model was presented to estimate the number of cases within a country using the external parameters. Conclusions It is impossible to express the change in the number of cases for a unit increase in each of the variables because a change in a single variable depends on different values of other variables. However, the findings of this study provide useful implications for the authorities and decision-makers to take specific precautionary measures. Graphical abstract Image 1 |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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