The Chaotic Behavior of the Spread of Infection During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States and Globally

Autor: Waldemar Karwowski, Mohammad Reza Davahli, Nabin Sapkota, Tadeusz Marek, Redha Taiar, Grzegorz Wrobel, Awad M. Aljuaid, Atsuo Murata
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: IEEE Access, Vol 9, Pp 80692-80702 (2021)
Ieee Access
ISSN: 2169-3536
Popis: In December 2019, China announced the breakout of a new virus identified as coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19), which soon grew exponentially and resulted in a global pandemic. Despite strict actions to mitigate the spread of the virus in various countries, COVID-19 resulted in a significant loss of human life in 2020 and early 2021. To better understand the dynamics of the spread of COVID-19, evidence of its chaotic behavior in the US and globally was evaluated. A 0–1 test was used to analyze the time-series data of confirmed daily COVID-19 cases from 1/22/2020 to 12/13/2020. The results show that the behavior of the COVID-19 pandemic was chaotic in 55% of the investigated countries. Although the time-series data for the entire US was not chaotic, 39% of individual states displayed chaotic infection spread behavior based on the reported daily cases. Overall, there is evidence of chaotic behavior of the spread of COVID-19 infection worldwide, which adds to the difficulty in controlling and preventing the current pandemic.
Databáze: OpenAIRE