Estimation of lead-time bias and its impact on the outcome of surveillance for the early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma
| Autor: | Cucchetti A., Trevisani F., Pecorelli A., Erroi V., Farinati F., Ciccarese F., Rapaccini G. L., Di Marco M., Caturelli E., Giannini E. G., Zoli M., Borzio F., Cabibbo G., Felder M., Gasbarrini A., Sacco R., Foschi F. G., Missale G., Morisco F., Baroni G. S., Virdone R., Bernardi M., Pinna A. D., Bolondi L., Biselli M., Caraceni P., Garuti F., Gramenzi A., Lenzi B., Magalotti D., Piscaglia F., Serra C., Ravaioli M., Venerandi L., Del Poggio P., Olmi S., Balsamo C., Di Nolfo M. A., Vavassori E., Alberti A., Benvegnu L., Gatta A., Giacomin A., Vanin V., Pozzan C., Maddalo G., Giampalma E., Cappelli A., Golfieri R., Mosconi C., Renzulli M., Dell'Isola S., Ialungo A. M., Roselli P., Risso D., Marenco S., Sammito G., Bruzzone L., Bosco G., Grieco A., Pompili M., Rinninella E., Siciliano M., Chiaramonte M., Guarino M., Camma C., Maida M., Di Martino A., Barcellona M. R., Schiada L., Gemini S., Biasini E., Porro E., del Ricambio M., Mismas V., Vivaldi C. |
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| Přispěvatelé: | Cucchetti, A, Trevisani, F, Pecorelli, A, Erroi, V, Farinati, F, Ciccarese, F, Rapaccini, Gl, Di Marco, M, Caturelli, E, Giannini, Eg, Zoli, M, Borzio, F, Cabibbo, G, Felder, M, Gasbarrini, A, Sacco, R, Foschi, Fg, Missale, G, Morisco, Filomena, Baroni, G, Virdone, R, Bernardi, M, Pinna, Ad, Italian Liver Cancer, Group, Alessandro, Cucchetti, Franco, Trevisani, Anna, Pecorelli, Virginia, Erroi, Fabio, Farinati, Francesca, Ciccarese, Gian, Lodovico Rapaccini, Mariella Di, Marco, Eugenio, Caturelli, Edoardo, G. Giannini, Marco, Zoli, Franco, Borzio, Giuseppe, Cabibbo, Martina, Felder, Antonio, Gasbarrini, Rodolfo, Sacco, Francesco, Giuseppe Foschi, Gabriele, Missale, Filomena, Morisco, Gianluca, Svegliati Baroni, Roberto, Virdone, Mauro, Bernardi, Antonio D., Pinna, for the Italian Liver Cancer Group [.., Bolondi, Luigi, Maurizio, Biselli, Piscaglia, Fabio, ]., Cucchetti, A., Trevisani, F., Pecorelli, A., Erroi, V., Farinati, F., Ciccarese, F., Rapaccini, G. L., Di Marco, M., Caturelli, E., Giannini, E. G., Zoli, M., Borzio, F., Cabibbo, G., Felder, M., Gasbarrini, A., Sacco, R., Foschi, F. G., Missale, G., Morisco, F., Baroni, G. S., Virdone, R., Bernardi, M., Pinna, A. D., Bolondi, L., Biselli, M., Caraceni, P., Garuti, F., Gramenzi, A., Lenzi, B., Magalotti, D., Piscaglia, F., Serra, C., Ravaioli, M., Venerandi, L., Del Poggio, P., Olmi, S., Balsamo, C., Di Nolfo, M. A., Vavassori, E., Alberti, A., Benvegnu, L., Gatta, A., Giacomin, A., Vanin, V., Pozzan, C., Maddalo, G., Giampalma, E., Cappelli, A., Golfieri, R., Mosconi, C., Renzulli, M., Dell'Isola, S., Ialungo, A. M., Roselli, P., Risso, D., Marenco, S., Sammito, G., Bruzzone, L., Bosco, G., Grieco, A., Pompili, M., Rinninella, E., Siciliano, M., Chiaramonte, M., Guarino, M., Camma, C., Maida, M., Di Martino, A., Barcellona, M. R., Schiada, L., Gemini, S., Biasini, E., Porro, E., del Ricambio, M., Mismas, V., Vivaldi, C. |
| Rok vydání: | 2014 |
| Předmět: |
Male
medicine.medical_specialty Pediatrics Carcinoma Hepatocellular Time Factors Hepatocellular carcinoma Settore MED/12 - GASTROENTEROLOGIA Disease Gastroenterology Bias Internal medicine Overall survival medicine Humans Early Detection of Cancer Aged Estimation Surveillance Hepatology business.industry Liver Neoplasms medicine.disease digestive system diseases Lead time bias Cirrhosis Female business Lead-time bias Follow-Up Studies |
| Popis: | Lead-time is the time by which diagnosis is anticipated by screening/surveillance with respect to the symptomatic detection of a disease. Any screening program, including surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), is subject to lead-time bias. Data regarding lead-time for HCC are lacking. Aims of the present study were to calculate lead-time and to assess its impact on the benefit obtainable from the surveillance of cirrhotic patients. Background & Aims: Lead-time is the time by which diagnosis is anticipated by screening/surveillance with respect to the symptomatic detection of a disease. Any screening program, including surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), is subject to lead-time bias. Data regarding lead-time for HCC are lacking. Aims of the present study were to calculate lead-time and to assess its impact on the benefit obtainable from the surveillance of cirrhotic patients. Methods: One-thousand three-hundred and eighty Child–Pugh class A/B patients from the ITA.LI.CA database, in whom HCC was detected during semiannual surveillance (n = 850), annual surveillance (n = 234) or when patients came when symptomatic (n = 296), were selected. Lead-time was estimated by means of appropriate formulas and Monte Carlo simulation, including 1000 patients for each arm. Results: The 5-year overall survival after HCC diagnosis was 32.7% in semiannually surveilled patients, 25.2% in annually surveilled patients, and 12.2% in symptomatic patients (p |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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