| Autor: |
Francesca Guideri, Martina Giuntini, Luca Masotti, Alessandro Padovani, Danilo Toni, Maria Chondrogianni, Monica Carletti, Cecilia Becattini, Dorjan Zabzuni, Loris Poli, Theodore Karapanayiotides, Monica Acciarresi, Antonio Procopio, Giuseppe Martini, Giovanni Orlandi, Maurizio Acampa, Nicola Falocci, Vieri Vannucchi, Valeria Caso, Cindy Tiseo, Enrico Maria Lotti, László Csiba, Giancarlo Agnelli, Michelangelo Mancuso, Giorgio Bono, Lilla Szabó, Antonio Baldi, Serena Monaco, Jukka Putaala, Faisal Ibrahim, Dirk Deleu, Prasanna Tadi, Yuriy Flomin, Miriam Maccarrone, Georgios Tsivgoulis, Kennedy R. Lees, George Ntaios, Massimo Del Sette, Alberto Rigatelli, Kristian Barlinn, Naveed Akhtar, Jessica Kepplinger, Simona Sacco, Fabio Bandini, Vera Volodina, Lars-Peder Pallesen, Rossana Tassi, Odysseas Kargiotis, Peter Vanacker, Tiziana Tassinari, Nicola Giannini, Christina Rueckert, Ulf Bodechtel, Elisa Giorli, Simona Marcheselli, Efstathia Karagkiozi, Davide Imberti, Michele Venti, Walter Ageno, Chrysoula Liantinioti, Kostantinos Vadikolias, Alfonso Ciccone, Federica Letteri, Domenico Consoli, Andrea Alberti, Turgut Tatlisumak, Marialuisa Zedde, Vanessa Gourbali, Alberto Chiti, Manuel Cappellari, Cataldo D'Amore, Alessandro Pezzini, Francesco Corea, Maurizio Paciaroni, Liisa Tomppo, Giorgio Silvestrelli, Gayane Melikyan, Gianni Lorenzini, K. Makaritsis, Paolo Bovi, Marta Bellesini, Patrik Michel, Ludovica Anna Cimini, Alessio Pieroni, Shadi Yaghi, Sebastiano D'Anna, Azmil H. Abdul-Rahim, Gino Gialdini, Licia Denti, Nicola Mumoli, Mario Maimone Baronello, Maria Luisa De Lodovici, Sung Il Sohn, Johannes Gerber, Giovanna Colombo, Boris Doronin, Karen L. Furie, Franco Galati, Antonio Carolei, Maria Giulia Mosconi, George Athanasakis, Umberto Scoditti |
| Rok vydání: |
2016 |
| Předmět: |
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| Zdroj: |
Stroke: a journal of cerebral circulation |
| ISSN: |
1524-4628
0039-2499 |
| Popis: |
Background and Purposes— This study was designed to derive and validate a score to predict early ischemic events and major bleedings after an acute ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. Methods— The derivation cohort consisted of 854 patients with acute ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation included in prospective series between January 2012 and March 2014. Older age (hazard ratio 1.06 for each additional year; 95% confidence interval, 1.00–1.11) and severe atrial enlargement (hazard ratio, 2.05; 95% confidence interval, 1.08–2.87) were predictors for ischemic outcome events (stroke, transient ischemic attack, and systemic embolism) at 90 days from acute stroke. Small lesions (≤1.5 cm) were inversely correlated with both major bleeding (hazard ratio, 0.39; P =0.03) and ischemic outcome events (hazard ratio, 0.55; 95% confidence interval, 0.30–1.00). We assigned to age ≥80 years 2 points and between 70 and 79 years 1 point; ischemic index lesion >1.5 cm, 1 point; severe atrial enlargement, 1 point (ALESSA score). A logistic regression with the receiver-operating characteristic graph procedure (C statistic) showed an area under the curve of 0.697 (0.632–0.763; P =0.0001) for ischemic outcome events and 0.585 (0.493–0.678; P =0.10) for major bleedings. Results— The validation cohort consisted of 994 patients included in prospective series between April 2014 and June 2016. Logistic regression with the receiver-operating characteristic graph procedure showed an area under the curve of 0.646 (0.529–0.763; P =0.009) for ischemic outcome events and 0.407 (0.275–0.540; P =0.14) for hemorrhagic outcome events. Conclusions— In acute stroke patients with atrial fibrillation, high ALESSA scores were associated with a high risk of ischemic events but not of major bleedings. |
| Databáze: |
OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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