Plus-Minus Player Ratings for Soccer
| Autor: | Tarak Kharrat, Javier López Peña, Ian G. McHale |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
FOS: Computer and information sciences
Information Systems and Management Basketball General Computer Science 62P99 68Q32 0211 other engineering and technologies 02 engineering and technology Football Variation (game tree) Management Science and Operations Research League Statistics - Applications Outcome (game theory) Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering German 0502 economics and business Statistics Applications (stat.AP) Association (psychology) 050210 logistics & transportation 021103 operations research 05 social sciences language.human_language Modeling and Simulation language Psychology human activities |
| Zdroj: | European Journal of Operational Research |
| Popis: | The paper presents plus–minus ratings for use in association football (soccer). We first describe the general plus–minus methodology as used in basketball and ice-hockey and then adapt it for use in soccer. The usual goal-differential plus–minus is considered before two new variations are proposed. For the first variation, we present a methodology to calculate an expected goals plus–minus rating. The second variation makes use of in-play probabilities of match outcome to evaluate an expected points plus–minus rating. We use the ratings to examine who are the best players in European football, and demonstrate how the players’ ratings evolve over time. Finally, we shed light on the debate regarding which is the strongest league. The model suggests the English Premier League is the strongest, with the German Bundesliga a close runner-up. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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