Risk Assessment Models to Improve Environmental Safety in the Field of the Economy and Organization of Construction: A Case Study of Russia
| Autor: | Arkadiy Larionov, Ekaterina Nezhnikova, Elena Smirnova |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
environmental safety
Environmental effects of industries and plants Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment Geography Planning and Development TJ807-830 construction risk ecological risk economy risk Monte Carlo method quality of life risk assessment sustainability Management Monitoring Policy and Law TD194-195 Renewable energy sources Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
| Zdroj: | Sustainability, Vol 13, Iss 13539, p 13539 (2021) Sustainability; Volume 13; Issue 24; Pages: 13539 |
| ISSN: | 2071-1050 |
| Popis: | This article assesses risks in order to substantiate the economic and organizational efficiency of housing and industrial construction. This topic is relevant because it is necessary for sustainable development. In Russia, environmental safety in construction and housing, as well as communal services, is poorly developed and not regulated by the legal system. As building construction, housing, and communal services should be based on environmental safety, this topic requires rapid development. Methods related to quantifying environmental risk and making decisions under conditions of uncertainty were studied. A quantitative risk assessment was performed using the Monte Carlo method for pessimistic and optimistic options to prevent environmental damage. The model reproduced the distribution derived from the evidence-based fit. The results of sensitivity analysis are also presented to prove the hypothesis. The selection of the most appropriate probability density functions for each of the input quantities was implemented through settings in a computer program. The simulation modeling results clearly illustrate the choice of the general principle of assessment and the adoption of the optimal decision. In conditions of uncertainty, the decision to choose the optimistic options with high cost (to maintain the reliability of the technical system) but less risk plays a decisive role in the future environmental safety strategies of construction projects. The Monte Carlo method is preferable for environmental impact assessments. In the future, the amended methodology can be applied to raise environmental safety in the field of construction. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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