Evaluation and Prediction of Ecosystem Service Value in the Zhoushan Islands Based on LUCC
Autor: | Henghui Xi, Mengyuan Chen, Chenglei Xu, Li Cai, Wanglai Cui |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2021 |
Předmět: |
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Geography Planning and Development LUCC TJ807-830 010501 environmental sciences Management Monitoring Policy and Law Spatial distribution TD194-195 01 natural sciences Renewable energy sources Ecosystem services Zhoushan Islands Ecosystem Land use land-use change and forestry GE1-350 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Land use Environmental effects of industries and plants Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment scenario simulation ecosystem service value Environmental sciences Geography Sustainable management Sustainability Value (economics) Physical geography evaluation and prediction |
Zdroj: | Sustainability, Vol 13, Iss 2302, p 2302 (2021) Sustainability Volume 13 Issue 4 |
ISSN: | 2071-1050 |
Popis: | Islands are the confluence of terrestrial ecology and marine ecology. With urban expansion and economic development, the ecological environment of islands is facing serious threats. In order to study the island area land use change/cover (LUCC) and its impact on the ecosystem service value (ESV), this study was conducted. This study evaluated the ESV of Zhoushan Islands based on the LUCC, using the equivalent coefficient method, and simulated and analyzed the ESV of Zhoushan Islands in 2025 under different scenarios using the "Future Land Use Simulation Model". The results showed: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the ESV of Zhoushan Islands showed a "∧" type change trend, and the total amount decreased by 14.1141 million yuan. (2) The spatial distribution and changes of ESV have a certain regularity. The ESV in the center of the island and in the water system area is relatively high but does not change significantly over time, while the ESV of urban buildings and cultivated areas on the edge of the island is low, and, over time, the change is significant. (3) Compared with 2020, the total ESV under the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario shows a slow downward trend, the ESV under the socio-economic development (SED) scenario shows a significant downward trend, and the total ESV under the ecological protection priority (EPP) scenario has increased. This research provides a theoretical basis and support for the development and utilization of island space and the improvement of "eco-economy-society" benefits in addition, the research results provide support for scientific decision-making on the sustainable use of resources in island areas (island cities) and the sustainable management of ecosystems. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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