Prospects for development of Russian agricultural industry in the context of export-oriented strategy implementation in the agro-industrial complex
| Autor: | Marina Kholodova, Lyudmila Dubrova, Lyudmila Orekhova, Zhanna Kolycheva, Mikhail Kabanenko |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
lcsh:GE1-350
0209 industrial biotechnology business.industry 05 social sciences Delphi method Staple food 02 engineering and technology Agricultural economics 0506 political science Strategy implementation 020901 industrial engineering & automation Agriculture Time dynamics 050602 political science & public administration Per capita Business Agricultural productivity Stock (geology) lcsh:Environmental sciences |
| Zdroj: | E3S Web of Conferences, Vol 175, p 13004 (2020) |
| ISSN: | 2267-1242 |
| Popis: | The research concept consists in the development of theoretical and empirical approaches for analysis and assessment of Russian agricultural production development trends in the context of exportoriented strategy implementation in the agro-industrial complex. The research is conducted using complex of methods of mathematical modeling in economics, including extrapolation methods (linear and non-linear trend models for analyzing the time dynamics of production and economic variables), scenario forecasting, Delphi approach. The projected parameters of the export potential of Russian agricultural production are developed and represented in the paper. Based on the data of 2009-2018, the development state is analyzed and trends become visible of the farm stock structure by farming categories in the Russian Federation and staple food production, including meat, milk, vegetables, potatoes, grain and sunflower. Three forecasting scenarios of staple food production per capita in the Russian Federation for the period up to 2025 are developed and proved (base case, best-case and worst-casescenarios). |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
|