Volatility of volatility estimation: central limit theorems for the Fourier transform estimator and empirical study of the daily time series stylized facts

Autor: Maria Elvira Mancino, Stefano Marmi, Giulia Livieri, Giacomo Toscano
Přispěvatelé: Toscano, Giacomo, Livieri, Giulia, Mancino, Maria Elvira, Marmi, Stefano
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Economics and Econometrics
History
Settore SECS-P/11 - Economia degli Intermediari Finanziari
Polymers and Plastics
Settore SECS-P/13 - Scienze Merceologiche
Econometrics (econ.EM)
central limit theorem
Settore SECS-P/05 - Econometria
Mathematics - Statistics Theory
Statistics Theory (math.ST)
non-parametric estimation
Settore SECS-P/02 - Politica Economica
Settore SECS-P/06 - Economia Applicata
Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
FOS: Economics and business
Settore SECS-P/10 - Organizzazione Aziendale
symbols.namesake
Settore SECS-P/12 - Storia Economica
Settore SECS-P/07 - Economia Aziendale
Econometrics
FOS: Mathematics
Settore SECS-S/05 - Statistica Sociale
Business and International Management
stochastic volatility
Settore SECS-P/04 - Storia del Pensiero Economico
Settore SECS-P/01 - Economia Politica
Economics - Econometrics
Central limit theorem
Mathematics
Stylized fact
Settore SECS-S/06 - Metodi mat. dell'economia e Scienze Attuariali e Finanziarie
Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST)
Series (mathematics)
Stochastic volatility
Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance
Estimator
Settore SECS-P/08 - Economia e Gestione delle Imprese
Settore SECS-S/04 - Demografia
Fourier analysis
Fourier transform
volatility of volatility
Settore SECS-S/03 - Statistica Economica
symbols
Volatility (finance)
Settore SECS-S/01 - Statistica
Settore SECS-S/02 - Statistica per La Ricerca Sperimentale e Tecnologica
Finance
Popis: We study the asymptotic normality of two feasible estimators of the integrated volatility of volatility based on the Fourier methodology, which does not require the pre-estimation of the spot volatility. We show that the bias-corrected estimator reaches the optimal rate n1/4, while the estimator without bias-correction has a slower convergence rate and a smaller asymptotic variance. Additionally, we provide simulation results that support the theoretical asymptotic distribution of the rate-efficient estimator and show the accuracy of the latter in comparison with a rate-optimal estimator based on the pre-estimation of the spot volatility. Finally, using the rate-optimal Fourier estimator, we reconstruct the series of the daily volatility of volatility of the S&P500 and EUROSTOXX50 indices over long samples and provide novel insight into the existence of stylized facts about the volatility of volatility dynamics.
Databáze: OpenAIRE