National Health Expenditure Projections, 2013–23: Faster Growth Expected With Expanded Coverage And Improving Economy
| Autor: | Sean P. Keehan, Christian J. Wolfe, Joseph M. Lizonitz, Gigi A. Cuckler, Sheila Smith, Andrew J. Madison, Andrea M. Sisko, Devin A. Stone, John A. Poisal |
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| Rok vydání: | 2014 |
| Předmět: |
Population ageing
Prescription Drugs Gross Domestic Product Medicare Drug Costs Insurance Coverage Gross domestic product Health spending Physicians Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Economics Health insurance Humans National health Insurance Health Public economics Medicaid Health Policy Hospitals United States Economic recovery Demographic economics Health Expenditures Models Econometric Forecasting |
| Zdroj: | Health Affairs. 33:1841-1850 |
| ISSN: | 1544-5208 0278-2715 |
| DOI: | 10.1377/hlthaff.2014.0560 |
| Popis: | In 2013 health spending growth is expected to have remained slow, at 3.6 percent, as a result of the sluggish economic recovery, the effects of sequestration, and continued increases in private health insurance cost-sharing requirements. The combined effects of the Affordable Care Act's coverage expansions, faster economic growth, and population aging are expected to fuel health spending growth this year and thereafter (5.6 percent in 2014 and 6.0 percent per year for 2015-23). However, the average rate of increase through 2023 is projected to be slower than the 7.2 percent average growth experienced during 1990-2008. Because health spending is projected to grow 1.1 percentage points faster than the average economic growth during 2013-23, the health share of the gross domestic product is expected to rise from 17.2 percent in 2012 to 19.3 percent in 2023. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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