| Autor: |
Manzanas, Rodrigo, J. Bedia, M.E. Magariño, J. Fernández, A.S. Cofiño, J.M. Gutiérrez |
| Rok vydání: |
2019 |
| DOI: |
10.6084/m9.figshare.8863775 |
| Popis: |
Different activities in the EU FP7 projects SPECS and EUPORIAS require seasonal predictions to feed different impact models, to serve as input to different downscaling techniques, or to test different validation methodologies. Typically, precipitation and surface temperatures are used for this purpose. The ECMWF System4 seasonal forecasting system has been selected in these projects as the initial model to undertake these activities. The available System4 hindcast covers the period 1981-2010, and several variables have already been included in the SPECS-EUPORIAS data portal (https://www.meteo.unican.es/trac/meteo/wiki/SpecsEuporias). This information is available for downloading through a THREDDS server for the SPECS-EUPORIAS community, both directly and through an R-package for transparent data access. A key task in this framework is to assess worldwide the forecast skill of the data included in the SPECS-EUPORIAS data portal, so appropriate decisions can be made based on the model skill. This document shows the results of a preliminary validation of the System4 seasonal range (15 members) dataset for the whole hindcast period 1981-2010. This allows identifying the most suitable regions for impact applications on seasonal time-scales. This document will be updated in the coming months to include the validation results for further seasonal forecasting systems to be included in the SPECS-EUPORIAS data portal (for instance the CFS from NCEP). |
| Databáze: |
OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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