Sovereign bond prices, haircuts and maturity

Autor: Dirk Niepelt, Romain Ranciere, Tamon Asonuma
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of International Economics. 140:103689
ISSN: 0022-1996
DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103689
Popis: Rejecting a common assumption in the sovereign debt literature, we document that creditor losses (“haircuts”) during sovereign restructuring episodes are asymmetric across debt instruments. We code a comprehensive dataset on instrument-specific haircuts for 28 debt restructurings with private creditors in 1999–2015 and find that haircuts on shorter-term debt are larger than those on debt of longer maturity. In a standard asset pricing model, we show that increasing short-run default risk in the run-up to a restructuring episode can explain the stylized fact. The data confirms the predicted relation between perceived default risk, bond prices, and haircuts by maturity.
Databáze: OpenAIRE