A method of ecological and economic risk assessment during the development of the shelf based on mathematical modelling
| Autor: | Leopold Lobkovsky, N. V. Solovyova |
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| Rok vydání: | 2015 |
| Předmět: | |
| Zdroj: | Doklady Earth Sciences. 464:992-996 |
| ISSN: | 1531-8354 1028-334X |
| Popis: | This paper proposes a method of mathematical modelling of ecological risk based on a synthesis of dynamic and probabilistic risk assessment techniques. The probability of assessment of an acceptable probability of an anthropogenic impact to minimize economic costs is proposed. The dependence of an acceptable probability of an anthropogenic impact on the ecological risk is demonstrated with an example calculation. The results of the modelling of the state of a shelf ecosystem based on the dynamic model are used for the calculation as source information. Based on this synthesis, the calculation results bring about the opportunity to balance ecological–economic goals of achieving safe development of the shelf and to satisfy the involuntary necessity to reduce the costs on environmental protection measures, while maintaining the priority of environmental requirements. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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