Sensitivity of shoreline-recession forecasts to sediment budget uncertainties

Autor: Peter J. Cowell, Salette Amaral de Figueiredo
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Coastal Research. 75:947-951
ISSN: 1551-5036
0749-0208
DOI: 10.2112/si75-190.1
Popis: Figueiredo, S.A.; Cowell, P.J., 2016. Sensitivity of shoreline-recession forecasts to sediment-budget uncertainties. In: Vila-Concejo, A.; Bruce, E.; Kennedy, D.M., and McCarroll, R.J. (eds.), Proceedings of the 14th International Coastal Symposium (Sydney, Australia). Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue, No. 75, pp. 947–951. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208. Intrinsic uncertainty associated with the stochastic nature of coastal processes and how they affect sediment budget estimates under present conditions already make predicting coastal change difficult. The possibility that under climate change conditions alteration of wave climate will have direct implications for alongshore transport in future, may complicate even more future forecasts of coastal change in response to sea-level rise. This study exploits the variability in sediment budgets along the Rio Grande do Sul coastal plain, in southern Brazil, to provide an experimental framework to evaluate the significance of such unc...
Databáze: OpenAIRE