Evaluating Small-Area Population Projections

Autor:	Paul R. Voss, Darrell Fannin, Beverly Pecotte, Rita R. Hamm, Steve H. Murdock
Rok vydání:	1991
Předmět:	Urban Studies Projections of population growth Projection (mathematics) Computer science Geography Planning and Development Projection method Econometrics External consistency Development
Zdroj:	Journal of the American Planning Association. 57:432-443
ISSN:	1939-0130 0194-4363
DOI:	10.1080/01944369108975518
Popis:	Methods for evaluating small-area population projections have received little attention but are critical to their development and use. A model, illustrative measures and methods for evaluating small-area projections, and examples of the evaluation process are presented. Although the accuracy of projections of future populations is impossible to determine, the internal and external consistency of the projections can be evaluated by comparing projections to the physical, socioeconomic, and demographic characteristics of the projection area; the characteristics of contextual and comparison areas; and the computational structure, parameter assumptions, and data used in the projection method.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::f396d74f98631315458e0a271ea8db8c https://doi.org/10.1080/01944369108975518 Zobrazit plný text záznamu