How Mediated Opinion Polls Influence Political Parties: Revisiting the Arena Framework

Autor: Per Oleskog Tryggvason
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: International Journal of Public Opinion Research. 32:243-265
ISSN: 1471-6909
0954-2892
DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edz021
Popis: One key question in research on the mediatization of politics concerns how political actors are influenced by the news media. Using a unique dataset of more than 2,400 Swedish politicians, this study bridges two literatures—the arena framework of strategic party behavior, and research on elite perceptions of media power—by investigating how politicians assess the influence of mediás publication of opinion polls. The results show that published opinion polls are seen as highly influential, but that perceptions of influence vary between the internal, electoral, media, and parliamentary arenas on which political parties act. Furthermore, on the electoral and media arena, the perceived influence of published opinion polls is found to be a function of how the politician’s party has performed on the polls. More specifically, politicians who believe their party to have either increased or decreased their poll support since the previous election deem polls as more influential compared to politicians who perceive that their party has not moved in the polls.
Databáze: OpenAIRE