| Popis: |
The invasive exotic plant Melinis minutiflora P.Beauv. is a globally invasive species and impacts the economy, biodiversity, and human well-being. The challenges of biological invasion may be intensified by climate change. The increase in temperatures and concentrations of greenhouse gases may favor the introduction, establishment, and expansion potential of this species. Climate change may influence the effective management of invasive species. The objectives of this study were, for the first time, to use CLIMEX software to determine the distribution potential of M. minutiflora in the world under current climatic conditions and global climate change scenarios for the 2030, 2050, 2070 and 2100. Modeling with CLIMEX was used to research the impacts of climate change on the potential global distribution of M. minutiflora. The potential worldwide distribution of M. minutiflora under current climatic conditions is broad, with suitable climatic conditions expanding in tropical and subtropical regions. Future climate scenarios of 2030, 2050, 2070, and 2100 M. minutiflora will grow poleward and upward as the climate warms. Where climate change results in expanding the species global potential range, strategies must be analyzed so that strategic control plans for biological invasion are often considered. Understanding this threat can help formulate effective prevention, introduction, and response measures in regions deemed inadequate. |
