| Autor: |
Amir Moshari, Akbar Ebrahimi |
| Rok vydání: |
2012 |
| Předmět: |
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| Zdroj: |
International Transactions on Electrical Energy Systems. 23:1254-1271 |
| ISSN: |
2050-7038 |
| DOI: |
10.1002/etep.1650 |
| Popis: |
SUMMARY Holidays load forecasting is one of the most challenging topics in the short-term load forecasting area. This is mainly due to different load behaviors and insufficient samples of holidays compared with the normal weekdays. This paper proposes an effective method for holidays short-term load forecasting that is robust to face with holidays of lunar year and simple for practical applications. The first step is to identify the essential characteristics of the holiday's profiles. For each characteristic, one similar day is selected. The essential load characteristics of the intended holiday are derived from these similar days. The holiday's load is forecasted by combining these characteristics and then will be modified using a fuzzy method. The proposed method has been implemented on Isfahan grid. Results show the proper performance of the proposed method especially for the holidays from the lunar year, which are varying compared with the solar year. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
| Databáze: |
OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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