Application of simulation method to assess the frequency of the implementation of accident scenarios
| Jazyk: | ruština |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2019 |
| Předmět: | |
| DOI: | 10.18720/spbpu/3/2019/vr/vr19-1540 |
| Popis: | Рданной ÑабоÑе на оÑновании меÑодов деÑевÑев оÑказов и деÑевÑев ÑобÑÑий, иÑполÑзÑемÑÑ Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¾Ñенки ÑиÑка аваÑий, поÑÑÑÐ¾ÐµÐ½Ñ Ð¸Ð¼Ð¸ÑаÑионнÑе модели Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¾Ñенки веÑоÑÑноÑÑи Ð²Ð¾Ð·Ð½Ð¸ÐºÐ½Ð¾Ð²ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¸ ÑазвиÑÐ¸Ñ ÑÑенаÑиев аваÑий на ÐÐÐ ÐÐÐР«ÐÑонка» пÑи помоÑи диÑкÑеÑно-ÑобÑÑийного моделиÑÐ¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ð² ÐР«AnyLogic». ÐÑполÑзÑемÑй меÑод позволÑÐµÑ Ð¿Ð¾Ð²ÑÑиÑÑ Ð½Ð°Ð´ÐµÐ¶Ð½Ð¾ÑÑÑ Ð¿Ð¾Ð»ÑÑенного ÑезÑлÑÑаÑа благодаÑÑ Ð²Ð¾Ð·Ð¼Ð¾Ð¶Ð½Ð¾ÑÑи наблÑÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð·Ð° Ñ Ð°ÑакÑеÑом Ð¸Ð·Ð¼ÐµÐ½ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð¿Ð°ÑамеÑÑов ÑиÑÑÐµÐ¼Ñ Ð²Ð¾ вÑемени и ÑÑкономиÑÑ Ð²ÑÐµÐ¼Ñ Ð·Ð° ÑÑÐµÑ Ð¿Ñо-Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ ÑаÑÑеÑов ÑлекÑÑонно-вÑÑиÑлиÑелÑнÑм пÑÑем. In this paper, based on the methods of failure trees and event trees used to assess the risk of accidents, simulation models were built to assess the likelihood of the occurrence and development of accident scenarios at the MMPK âBronkaâ using discrete event modeling in âAnyLogicâ software. The method used makes it possible to increase the reliability of the result obtained due to the possibility of observing the nature of changes in the system parameters over time and save time by performing calculations by electronic computational means. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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