Modeling on population growth and its adaptation: A comparative analysis between Bangladesh and India
| Autor: | Mayeen Uddin Khandaker, Mohammed Nizam Uddin, Sofi Mahmud Parvez, A.N.M. Rezaul Karim, Masud Rana, M. R. I. Faruque |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
education.field_of_study
Curse General Immunology and Microbiology business.industry 05 social sciences Population 0211 other engineering and technologies 0507 social and economic geography 021107 urban & regional planning 02 engineering and technology Logistic regression Clothing General Biochemistry Genetics and Molecular Biology Geography Work (electrical) Population growth Logistic function General Agricultural and Biological Sciences education Adaptation (computer science) business Socioeconomics 050703 geography General Environmental Science |
| Zdroj: | Journal of Applied and Natural Science. 12:688-701 |
| ISSN: | 2231-5209 0974-9411 |
| DOI: | 10.31018/jans.v12i4.2396 |
| Popis: | The biggest challenge in the world is population growth and determining how society and the state adapt to it as it directly affects the fundamental human rights such as food, clothing, housing, education, medical care, etc. The population estimates of any country play an important role in making the right decision about socio-economic and population development projects. Unpredictable population growth can be a curse. The purpose of this research article is to compare the accuracy process and proximity of three mathematical model such as Malthusian or exponential growth model, Logistic growth model and Least Square model to make predictions about the population growth of Bangladesh and India at the end of 21st century. Based on the results, it has been observed that the population is expected to be 429.32(in million) in Bangladesh and 3768.53 (in million) in India by exponential model, 211.70(in million) in Bangladesh and 1712.94(in million) in India by logistic model and 309.28 (in million) in Bangladesh and 2686.30 (in million) in India by least square method at the end of 2100. It was found that the projection data from 2000 to 2020 using the Logistic Growth Model was very close to the actual data. From that point of view, it can be predicted that the population will be 212 million in Bangladesh and 1713 million in India at the end of the 21st century. Although transgender people are recognized as the third sex but their accurate statistics data is not available. The work also provides a comparative scenario of how the state has adapted to the growing population in the past and how they will adapt in the future. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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