Project Portfolio Selection Considering Uncertainty: Stochastic Dominance-Based Fuzzy Ranking

Autor: Jianming Shi, Liang-Chuan Wu, Yang Tai Chou, Liang Hong Wu
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: International Journal of Fuzzy Systems. 23:2048-2066
ISSN: 2199-3211
1562-2479
DOI: 10.1007/s40815-021-01069-y
Popis: This paper proposes a method for project selection based on stochastic dominance (SD) and fuzzy theory. Using fuzzy theory and stochastic dominance, the method is tested using data from real-world projects. The findings show the importance of the proposed methodology improved existing methods in two ways: (1) This research alleviates the subjective bias in risk assessment in estimating the expected value hidden in the project portfolio (2) Adding the stochastic dominance rule to the fuzzy ranking process contributes to efficiency in project portfolio selection. The study contributes to the literature by exploring the combination of both fuzzy theory and stochastic dominance. For practitioner significance, managers can identify key uncertainty factors and estimate value in managing project portfolios.
Databáze: OpenAIRE