Multi-Game Modeling for Counter-Smuggling
Autor: | Jennifer B. Webster, Casey J. Perkins, Craig Bakker, Samrat Chatterjee, Kathleen Nowak, Robert T. Brigantic |
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Rok vydání: | 2020 |
Předmět: |
021110 strategic
defence & security studies 021103 operations research Corruption media_common.quotation_subject 0211 other engineering and technologies Subsidy 02 engineering and technology Interdiction Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering Task (project management) Decision support tools Deterrence theory Business Safety Risk Reliability and Quality Port security Game theory Industrial organization media_common |
Zdroj: | Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 200:106958 |
ISSN: | 0951-8320 |
Popis: | International trade provides an avenue for terrorists to smuggle illicit materials into a target country. Policymakers need models and decision support tools that are both reliable and germane to inform their responses to this. Game theoretic approaches have been used in the analysis of counterterrorism strategies, but the models involved have often been small and abstracted. To address this need, we have developed a multi-game model to account for both security-related and economic aspects of counter-smuggling interdiction efforts. We use different games to represent different types of interactions, and these games are then coupled to each other to form an integrated model. In this paper, we demonstrate the model’s capabilities on a representative system of ports (both foreign and domestic), trade routes, and commodities. We specifically investigate the impacts of changes in screening policies at domestic ports, detection device capabilities, shipping subsidies, and worldwide corruption levels. In these studies, we find that economic factors play a large role in the interdiction task and provide correspondingly important tools for deterrence. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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