Prediction of University Dropout Using Machine Learning

Autor: Manuel Ayala-Chauvin, Aracelly Fernanda Núñez-Naranjo, Genís Riba-Sanmartí
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ISBN: 9783030682842
Popis: University dropout is a complex issue that affects all higher education institutions worldwide. This phenomenon is shown by the high proportion of students that never finish their university training, with the associated economic and social costs. The challenge for higher education institutions is to design and improve policies to increase student retention, specially within the first years. This study uses data mining to find patterns and student clustering that help explaining university dropout. The data for the analysis was gathered from the students that signed up on two admission periods of the Universidad Tecnologica Indoamerica of Ambato, Ecuador. A k-means algorithm is used to classify and define the performance patterns, and predictions for new students are made using a support-vector machine (SVM) model. The results allow institutions and the faculty to focus in high risk groups during the first terms and amend their future learning behaviour. To sum up, this study presents a models to explain and predict university dropout, and to design actions to reduce it.
Databáze: OpenAIRE