Tracking technology trajectory through regression modelling: a retrospective techno-analysis
| Autor: | Shagun Srivastava, Madhvendra Misra |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2015 |
| Předmět: |
Wilcoxon signed-rank test
Breusch–Pagan test Computer science business.industry Strategy and Management Regression analysis Management Science and Operations Research Stepwise regression computer.software_genre Machine learning Data set ComputerSystemsOrganization_MISCELLANEOUS Technology trajectory Tracking (education) Data mining Artificial intelligence business computer Technology forecasting |
| Zdroj: | Technology Analysis & Strategic Management. 27:420-436 |
| ISSN: | 1465-3990 0953-7325 |
| DOI: | 10.1080/09537325.2014.1003537 |
| Popis: | A significant number of studies have been conducted to forecast the expanding market and evaluate new generation smartphone technologies. However, no such study has been witnessed so far that could forecast the release time of these technologies. The purpose of the paper is to test the forecasting capabilities of stepwise regression in forecasting the smartphones commercialisation time. This technique predicts the release time of smartphones released in 2006 (belonging to the second generation of smartphones) and 2007 (belonging to the third generation of smartphones). The stepwise regression approach based on 12 year data set from 1994 to 2005 determines whether it provides a superior fitting and forecasting performance. The validation approach applied for the first- and second-generation smartphones will benefit future researchers and practitioners in understanding that a regression model developed on the basis of one generation may not give accurate results for the next generation, owing to the fact th... |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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