Multi-site modeling and prediction of annual and monthly precipitation in the watershed of Cheliff (Algeria)

Autor: Abd El Kader Douaoui, Samra Harkat, Khadidja Boukharouba
Rok vydání: 2014
Předmět:
Zdroj: Desalination and Water Treatment. 57:5959-5970
ISSN: 1944-3986
1944-3994
Popis: The quantity of precipitation as well as its distribution varies in time, space, and even in small areas. This temporal and/or spatial variability is due to the support of several quite complex climatic and physiographic factors. The description and the prediction of this variability is a fundamental requirement in a wide variety of human activities, as well as in the elaboration and the design of hydraulic projects. The objective of this work is to study the applicability of Kalman filter (KF) technique for the modeling and prediction of annual or monthly rainfall amounts in the Cheliff watershed, as well as the assessment of the prediction error. The major advantage of KF is to provide with the prediction error covariance an indicator of the filter accuracy. In addition, its algorithm works in the temporal domain with a recursive nature and has an optimal estimator in the least squares concept. Another aspect of its optimality is the incorporation of all the available information on the system, ...
Databáze: OpenAIRE