An Extended Boltzmann Model for Forecasting Biogas Consumption in Rural China

Autor:	L.-Q. Ji
Rok vydání:	2015
Předmět:	Consumption (economics) General Chemical Engineering Energy Engineering and Power Technology Sigmoid function Function (mathematics) Energy consumption symbols.namesake Fuel Technology Biogas Goodness of fit Boltzmann constant Economics Econometrics symbols Rural area
Zdroj:	Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy. 10:371-380
ISSN:	1556-7257 1556-7249
Popis:	Some sigmoidal growth models have been commonly used for forecasting energy consumption. In this article, a new sigmoidal growth model, which is an extended form of the Boltzmann 4-parameter function, has been developed for describing the evolution of biogas consumption in rural China. Additionally, the other three sigmoidal growth models (the general form of the logistic model, the Boltzmann 4-parameter function, and the Gompertz-Laird model) have also been applied to the same historical data on biogas consumption in rural China. These models have been compared using their goodness of fit to the historical data and the available national forecasts. The results revealed that the model newly-proposed in this paper is a very suitable candidate for forecasting biogas consumption in rural China.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::c7535f169a185b3030ab7fa956ae4823 https://doi.org/10.1080/15567249.2011.555349 Zobrazit plný text záznamu